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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo 538 has closed their forecast
![StanZhang](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/salem-center-manifold.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStanZhang%2FJ7GpK6M76T.jpg?alt=media&token=1491e72c-c02a-4d7f-b91d-c0b629c33bee)
Bought this back when this was in the 20s. Will make a huge profit soon
![Ben](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/salem-center-manifold.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fblatlas%2Fnt-bYKs7b1.jpeg?alt=media&token=7a499740-9d51-4f1c-ba8f-f24da6ebc9cc)
@Salem Center, I am operating under the assumption that 51-49 favoring Republicans resolves this yes, even if the headline is a "dead heat". This is the only way to make sense of "If Republicans have an exactly 50% chance on the date and time specified, this market will resolve as NO." But please correct me if wrong!
![SalemCenter](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/salem-center-manifold.appspot.com/o/salem-center-logo-small.jpeg?alt=media&token=de2e4ed3-8e79-4b0f-a1ac-d6b5b53ecf64)
@blatlas The wording "dead heat" has no bearing on how this market closes, just the numbers.
![adam308](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/salem-center-manifold.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fadam308%2FIUkrHiyfzK.jpg?alt=media&token=68cf1b47-709a-4b8b-ac42-3d3030c71b8b)
For the purposes of market resolution, which 538 forecast model is being evaluated? Lite, Classic, or Deluxe?
![SalemCenter](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/salem-center-manifold.appspot.com/o/salem-center-logo-small.jpeg?alt=media&token=de2e4ed3-8e79-4b0f-a1ac-d6b5b53ecf64)
@adam308 the model that shows up when you click on the link provided
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