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Supreme Court Ban Race in College Admissions?
Resolved
YES
Jun 29
S$77,925 bet

💬 Proven correct

RobertGrosse
guyin2ndplace bought S$4,715 of YES
It seems like I'm interpreting the resolution criteria differently from everyone else. I really hope I'm right. It will be pretty frustrating if this is what takes me out of the game after a year of hard work.
guyin2ndplace made S$980!
PPPP
PPPP is betting YES at 77%
FWIW, Thomas understands it as a blanket ban on considering race. Grutter recognized “only one” interest sufficiently compelling to justify race-conscious admissions programs: the “educational benefits of a diverse student body.” 539 U. S., at 328, 333. Expanding on this theme, Harvard and UNC have offered a grab bag of interests to justify their programs, spanning from “‘training future leaders in the public and private sectors’” to “‘enhancing appreciation, respect, and empathy,’” with references to “‘better educating [their] students through diversity’” in between. Ante, at 22–23. The Court today finds that each of these interests are too vague and immeasurable to suffice, ibid., and I agree.
PPPP
PPPP is betting YES at 83%
Gorsuch also thinks so: "For some time, both universities have decided which applicants to admit or reject based in part on race. Today, the Court holds that the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment does not tolerate this practice. I write to emphasize that Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 does not either."
guyin1stplace
guyin1stplace bought S$100 of NO
I've changed my mind like 4 times
50P
50P is betting NO at 71%
Ask Vladecek
50P
50P sold S$86 of NO
@HenryALong Lol, that cites Bakke which allowed it.
50P
50P is betting NO at 71%
BECAUSE HARVARD AND UNCS PROGRAMS LACK SUFFICIENTLLY FOCUSED AND MEASURABLE OBJECETIVES. They applied strict scrutiny, and it failed. Another university could have a program that is sufficiently focused with measurable objectives.
HenryALong
Henry A Long is betting YES at 71%
@50P Many universities have for too long wrongly concluded that the touchstone of an individual’s identity is not challenges bested, skills built, or lessons learned, but the color of their skin. This Nation’s constitutional history does not tolerate that choice.
HenryALong
Henry A Long is betting YES at 71%
Two universities is not many. This clearly implies that this decision applies to other public universities (like UNC) or private universities (like Harvard).
HenryALong
Henry A Long bought S$1,523 of YES
"Because Harvard’s and UNC’s admissions programs lack sufficiently focused and measurable objectives warranting the use of race, unavoidably employ race in a negative manner, involve racial stereotyping, and lack meaningful end points, those admissions programs cannot be reconciled with the guarantees of the Equal Protection Clause. At the same time, nothing prohibits universities from considering an applicant’s discussion of how race affected the applicant’s life, so long as that discussion is concretely tied to a quality of character or unique ability that the particular applicant can contribute to the university." Nothing about this decision indicates it is specific to Harvard and UNC.
50P
50P is betting NO at 71%
@HenryALong except for the 2nd and 4th wordf
PPPP
PPPP is betting YES at 71%
@50P no other universities were parties to the lawsuits.
50P
50P is betting NO at 74%
Its a no. Was specific to Harvard and UNC
PPPP
PPPP bought S$274 of YES
@50P that's how American court cases work. Case and controversy requirement (Article III). But the decision doesn't leave the door open for colleges to consider race in any way. It does say that colleges can take into account applicants' individual stories about how race affected their lives, but the colleges can't do any sort of quotas, point systems, rankings, etc. using race as a criterion.
50P
50P is betting NO at 74%
@PPPP it does not invalidate or overrule Grutter
PPPP
PPPP is betting YES at 74%
@50P the question does not hinge on overruling Grutter. Hanania has a JD. If he wanted to ask "Will the Supreme Court overrule Grutter?" he could have.
guyin1stplace
guyin1stplace sold S$1,067 of YES
@PPPP The thing about military institutions kinda makes me reconsider this. If we didn't have that footnote, I would still be buying Y
HenryALong
Henry A Long is betting YES at 71%
@50P In other words, the student must be treated based on his or her experiences as an individual—not on the basis of race
PPPP
PPPP is betting YES at 71%
@zubbybadger interesting. Jurisprudentially, though, I'd characterize that as just saying "this is an issue not before the Court" rather than carving out an execption.
guyin1stplace
guyin1stplace is betting YES at 84%
Sotomayor's dissent: Today's decision "rolls back decades of precedent and momentous progress. It holds that race can no longer be used in a limited way in college admissions to achieve such official benefits" ...Seems pretty clear!
guyin1stplace
guyin1stplace bought S$350 of YES
"Because Harvard’s and UNC’s admissions programs lack sufficiently focused and measurable objectives warranting the use of race, unavoidably employ race in a negative manner, involve racial stereotyping, and lack meaningful end points, those admissions programs cannot be reconciled with the guarantees of the Equal Protection Clause. At the same time, nothing prohibits universities from considering an applicant’s discussion of how race affected the applicant’s life, so long as that discussion is concretely tied to a quality of character or unique ability that the particular applicant can contribute to the university. Many universities have for too long wrongly concluded that the touchstone of an individual’s identity is not challenges bested, skills built, or lessons learned, but the color of their skin. This Nation’s constitutional history does not tolerate that choice." The reference to the Equal Protection Clause and the last 2 sentences make this PRETTY CLEAR to me. The sentence above the last 2 sentences literally word for word matches the clarification posted above. However, Mr. Hanania who will decide is going to come to his own conclusion about this and we'll just have to deal with it I guess.
PPPP
PPPP is betting YES at 74%
@zubbybadger agreed. The decision leaves no room for colleges to consider applicants' race.
50P
50P is betting NO at 71%
@zubbybadger because they referenced the Law theyre applying it's universal? Notice 'THOSE PROGRAMS"
RobertGrosse
guyin2ndplace bought S$4,715 of YES
It seems like I'm interpreting the resolution criteria differently from everyone else. I really hope I'm right. It will be pretty frustrating if this is what takes me out of the game after a year of hard work.
Mark
Mark bought S$291 of NO
@RobertGrosse The decision held that Harvard and UNC’s policies specifically are unlawful but there is no blanket ban on the use of race in college admissions, so I’m interpreting this as a No. But this is going to come down to interpretation. I wouldn’t be opposed to unwinding all trades done today because it does seem iffy that the whole outcome of the contest could turn on this interpretation.
JaredFrerichs
Jared Frerichs is betting YES at 76%
Ideally, applications would be demographically blind. No race, age, gender and so on. Diversity is no substitute for quality.
pilot1776
pilot1776 bought S$100 of YES
Oral arguments for both SFFA v. UNC and SFFA v. Harvard are on October 31st, so a decision will almost certainly be released before the market resolution. YES should be 90+ imo, Roberts has consistently ruled and written against AA. No reason why his even more conservative colleagues on the court will rule for AA that I can see. Court will definitely rule against UNC and unless they plan on significantly weakening Title VI, they'll rule against Harvard, too.

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