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US GDP Growth 3% or More in 2023 Q1?
@SalemCenter according to BEA, the announcement of the 1st (advance) estimate for 2023Q1 GDP is scheduled for April 27, 2023: https://www.bea.gov/system/files/2022-10/2023-News-Release-Schedule.pdf
@SalemCenter So this closes a minute before publication to avoid people profiting by just clicking fast, right? I’d propose also closing all the midterm markets before the exit polls come in. I think things worked pretty well for the Brazilian election market and the Kherson market that recently closed with users competing and not getting much alpha. For the Brazil market, people slowly betted it down to almost 0 as results came in over time, staying pretty close to Polymarket the whole time. But since more than 20 markets resolve on the same day, I would assume that there are just not enough deep-pocketed users doing that for all of them simultaneously, so there’s going to be a bunch of free money for everyone. Of course, I also personally just don’t want people catching up that easily :P
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