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Will Donald Trump Be Indicted for a Crime by July 2023?
@zubbybadger I think you have basically infinite money now, but I never had a realistic chance of catching you in the first place. What really stings is that Connor managed to get in on this because 5th place was basically a fight between me and Connor and he just pulled way ahead. I think I'm farther from the top 5 now than I was at the beginning of March, despite all my efforts on Salem. Oh well, at least I still got a pretty high rank.
@RobertGrosse Well I definitely have a bot to notify me of sudden changes, but @zubbybadger easily outpaced me even getting the message, much less trading on it. So I guess I’m back to having to making limit orders like everyone else :( Anyway, I’m personally mostly looking at the pretty liquid Polymarket questions: https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-j-trump-be-indicted-by
Metaculus gives this 73%: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6549/when-will-trump-be-criminally-charged/ (you can see this by going to "prediction" and choosing "cumulative probability" in July 2023).
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