Will Republicans win the House of Representatives?
Resolved
YES
Nov 16
S$126,275 bet

💬 Proven correct

ConnorPitts
Connor Pitts bought S$6,368 of YES
@ussgordoncaptain You clicked so fast, you broke the speed barrier, lol
Connor Pitts made S$87!
DavidHassett
David Hassett is betting YES at 99%
NBC has now called it too.
JosiahNeeley
Josiah Neeley sold S$5,607 of YES
@salemcenter Decision Desk just called the 218th house seat for the GOP https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/national/2022-house
ConnorPitts
Connor Pitts sold S$5,995 of YES
@JosiahNeeley Not yet NYT though?
JosiahNeeley
Josiah Neeley is betting YES at 97%
@ConnorPitts Going to be a photo finish which market resolves first tonight
ussgordoncaptain
ussgordoncaptain bought S$3,840 of YES
@JosiahNeeley looks like the trump one won out so I get an extra sweet sweet 3% from resolution-hopping
ConnorPitts
Connor Pitts bought S$6,368 of YES
@ussgordoncaptain You clicked so fast, you broke the speed barrier, lol
ConnorPitts
Connor Pitts is betting YES at 99%
*sound
ussgordoncaptain
ussgordoncaptain is betting YES at 99%
@ConnorPitts it's called having 2 tabs open (I think i'm hopelessly far behind but ehh)
JosiahNeeley
Josiah Neeley is betting YES at 99%
@ussgordoncaptain still plenty of time to catch up
ussgordoncaptain
ussgordoncaptain is betting YES at 99%
@JosiahNeeley You/pitts are at roughly 6.5k J10N/Ben at roughly 9k and I'm sitting here at 4k I think I need like a lucky election type break
JosiahNeeley
Josiah Neeley is betting YES at 99%
@ussgordoncaptain I was only at $2k two weeks ago. Things can change.
ConnorPitts
Connor Pitts is betting YES at 99%
When Johnny Ten-Numbers makes 30 mana off 3000: https://ibb.co/Xy4k8r9
JaredFrerichs
Jared Frerichs is betting YES at 75%
I am less optimistic after the New York special election.
CorinWagen
Corin Wagen bought S$50 of YES
Still 76% on 538, 78% on Metaculus.
SherwinPhilip
Sherwin bought S$101 of YES
Should be an easy yes. GOP just needs to pick up 7 seats.
KendallKaut
Kendall Kaut bought S$250 of YES
Would be absolutely stunned if Dems held the House. Even with Dobbs, I don't see a path to them holding.
RyanAlweiss
Ryan Alweiss bought S$10 of YES
Again there is absurd fraud here, someone put it below 25% and then whoever saw it first made a lot of money. If I had seen this an hour ago I could
MikeSaintAntoine
Mike Saint-Antoine is betting NO at 86%
@RyanAlweiss The trade that put it down to 25% was one of the first trades early on when the market opened. So it's hard to tell if it's fraud or just a market inefficiency before the price stabilized.
jack
Same as what I said on the other market, incompetence is much more likely than fraud.
DfromBham
DfromBham is betting YES at 75%
@RyanAlweiss i expect that the number of participants here is relatively small. More like manipulation, as opposed to fraud (there's no deception). Basically, it comes down to recognizing what sized trades will move the needle

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