Will Republicans Win the Senate?
Emil O. W. Kirkegaard is betting YES at 35%
How does this work with the Georgia run-off? It looks like it could end with 50 Rs (Nevada and Alaska going R) and then the rerun in Georgia, which with some luck could result in the 51st R.
@EmilOWKirkegaard The market doesn't resolve until Jan 31 2023 for this reason I presume
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5632/gop-controls-us-senate-in-2023/ metaculus gives 41% atm
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