How does the percentage affect the price of the shares? If I bet $100 yes when the probability is 50%, does that buy 100/0.50 = 200 shares?

@KennethGriffith It works exactly like that for limit orders. But for quick bets the price can move while betting and there are fees. You can read the exact formulas here: https://help.manifold.markets/maniswap

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/12/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-arrested-in-the-bahamas-after-us-files-criminal-charges.html?__source=sharebar|twitter&par=sharebar


@usgordoncaptain See, just do that a couple more times and you’ll be in the top five. 

@JosiahNeeley yeah probably, It's gonna be hard to explain to @SalemCenter how doomscrolling twitter all for HFT opportunities makes me a good "forecaster"

This market settles as YES if Sam Bankman-Fried is indicted for or charged with a US federal or state crime by the end of the night on June 30, 2023. The indictment (or criminal complaint, or other charging instrument) must be announced and public; a sealed indictment will not count.

💬 Proven correct

Play-money betting